GDP falls in November

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GDP falls 2.6% in NovemberData from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) shows GDP fell by 2.6% month-on-month in November, with the decline pushing the economy toward a double-dip recession. GDP fell to 8.5% below its pre-pandemic level in November, with the slide driven by the second national coronavirus lockdown in England. Analysis shows that GDP dipped 3% in the first three months of 2020 before registering a record 19% fall in Q2 – a period that saw the UK in its first nationwide coronavirus lockdown. While Q3 saw a record jump of 16% as growth returned, analysts expect Q4 to see another dip. With tough new restrictions currently in place, Q1 2021 is forecast to show a decline, meaning two consecutive quarters of falling GDP and a second recession. Chancellor Rishi Sunak said the ONS figures highlight the scale of the challenge being faced, saying: “It’s clear things will get harder before they get better”. Suren Thiru, head of economics at the British Chambers of Commerce, believes a “clear and comprehensive plan is urgently needed to support the economy throughout this year.”

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